Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, post?) is independent from winning or losing on every other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the odds of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if it is precisely what your issue is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately ten.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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